OPINION

Yesterday Labour’s own pollsters, Talbot Mills, released their last poll before the election. This poll confirmed the 1News/Verian Poll from Wednesday night, ACT is slipping, and National is going to need both ACT and NZ First to govern.

A new Talbot Mills poll has shown NZ First rising again to 6.4 per cent into a hypothetical kingmaker position, while Labour continues to drop and Act drops back into the single digits.

The final pre-election NZ Insight poll by Talbot Mills Research for its corporate clients also has National rising to 38 per cent (up two since the last poll a month ago) and Labour dropping again to 27 per cent (down 3).

The Greens have nudged up to 13 per cent, the party’s highest result in the poll mid-2017. NZ First is up from 5.4 per cent in the September poll.

Act is on 9 per cent, down one. Te Pati Maori is at 3.1 per cent and The Opportunities Party (Top) are on 2.3 per cent.

National leader Christopher Luxon and Labour leader Chris Hipkins were neck and neck as preferred Prime Minister on 29 per cent – Hipkins had bumped up one point, and Luxon had gone up three points.

The poll of 1027 eligible voters was taken from September 22–28 and has a margin of error of +/- 3 per cent. Talbot Mills also polls for the Labour Party.

The result would give National and Act 58 seats between them – needing NZ First’s eight seats to secure a majority.

NZ Herald

No wonder the Act Party and their shills at the Taxpayers’ Union are in a blind panic. Their brilliant strategy of attacking NZ First is working…for Winston.

David Seymour looks like he is going to have to walk back faster than a French Army with some of his Winston-hating rhetoric.

This poll shows that there is just 2.6% between ACT and NZ First and, with the surge looking like it is for NZ First, ACT now runs the risk of coming in behind NZ First and David Seymour’s designs on being Deputy Prime Minister will be shredded along with his credibility.

National too appears panicked, rolling out John Key to attack Winston Peters. You’d think these dolts had learned from 2017. At least this time Winston Peters has categorically ruled out working with Labour. That just means he will extract far more out of Seymour and Luxon, like it or not.

All the National Party sycophants and Never Winston folks better get used to the fact that he is going to be in government with your lot.


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As much at home writing editorials as being the subject of them, Cam has won awards, including the Canon Media Award for his work on the Len Brown/Bevan Chuang story. When he’s not creating the news,...