At the end of each month, The BFD puts up a new poll with the same question so that we can track changes in voters’ preferences in the lead up to the election on September 19th.

Each month we will analyse the previous month’s results so that we can see which parties are gaining, losing or maintaining support in the lead up to election day.

If National changes leader part way through the year, for example, we will be able to tell you if that has affected support for the National party or not. Alternatively, if they do not change their leader we will be able to see if the voters that were expecting a leadership change remove their support for National as the election date gets closer.

January’s poll results:

  • ACT 49%
  • National 30%
  • New Conservative 17%
  • Maori Party 1%
  • NZ First – no support
  • Undecided 3%

February’s poll results:

  • ACT 52% +3%
  • National 27% -3%
  • New Conservative 17%
  • Maori Party-no support -1%
  • NZ First 1% +1%
  • Undecided 3%

March’s poll results:

  • ACT 49% -3%
  • National 26% -1%
  • New Conservative 20% +3%
  • Maori Party-no support
  • NZ First 2% +1%
  • Undecided 1% -2%

The poll results for April were:

  • ACT 54% +5%
  • National 23% -3%
  • New Conservative 19% -1%
  • Maori Party- no support
  • NZ First 1% -1%
  • Undecided 2% + 1%

Last month’s poll had the ACT Party as the clear favourite on 54% up 5% with National in second place at 23% down 3% and New Conservative in third place on 19% down 1%.

NZ First has 1% down 1% from the previous month and the Maori party remains static with no support and 2% of our readers are still undecided, an increase of 1% since they were last polled.

Today’s poll is going to be very interesting because of the National Party’s change of leadership.

Take our May poll below.


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