OPINION
The mainstream media these days is mostly staffed and run by Millennials. These are people indoctrinated their entire lives by the Long March Left and who have the historic awareness of a dead goldfish. They are clueless about anything that they’ve never seen on their X feed or on TikTok.
Take, for instance, the hoopla over Labor’s so-called “red wall”. With the fall of the Perrottet coalition government in NSW, Mainland Australia had wall-to-wall Labor governments. Historic! The end of the Coalition! Labor rule forever!
Only if you haven’t read a single page of Australian history.
As I’ve reported for The BFD, such situations are hardly unique in Australian political history. At various times, the political map has been uniformly red or blue. It swings back and forth, and the “wall” never lasts long.
This one looks even less enduring than before.
As I recently reported, the latest polls have been dire for the Albanese government. Labor’s primary vote is sinking to some of the lowest levels since the Federation. Albanese’s is shaping up to be the first one-term government since Scullin in 1929–32. The deeply unpopular Labor government in Queensland is facing election in October.
Meanwhile, Labor’s flagship state, Victoria, is also looking grim 18 months out from the next election. The hangover of the “Dictator Dan” is colliding with the fallout from the CFMEU corruption scandal.
Labor’s primary vote has dipped to its lowest level in years, increasing pressure on Premier Jacinta Allan as the party deals with the fallout from allegations of kickbacks, standover tactics and links to underworld figures in the CFMEU […]
Another fall in support for Labor represents a 12-point drop in core support for the government in the 10 months since Allan became premier. It is Labor’s lowest primary vote since Resolve started tracking it three years ago.
In many ways, it feels like a replay of the denouement of the Cain government: a long-running, once-popular government collapsing in debt and corruption and a hapless sheila (Joan Kirner, back then) shoved in front to take all the pain. (I wouldn’t otherwise insult John Cain, a decent-enough person if totally inept leader, by comparing him to the venal Dan Andrews.)
Don’t think Victorians have learned their lesson about wokeism, though.
Support for the Greens has steadily increased over the past six months from 11 per cent to 15 per cent, driving an increase in the number of Victorians shifting away from the major parties, which has reached 36 per cent.
Resolve director Jim Reed said Labor’s vote appeared to have “bottomed out” with Allan unable to maintain the level of support for former premier Daniel Andrews as she battles a youth crime wave, pressure over health funding and tough economic conditions.
Probably the only thing saving her from utter disaster is the smarter conservative voters fleeing to Queensland.
With an election still more than two years away, Swinburne University senior lecturer in politics and public policy Damon Alexander said the result indicated Labor was wading into dangerous territory.
“When you are getting a primary vote below 30, you are really pushing a rock uphill,” Alexander said.
When you’re about to be overtaken by a limp dishrag like John Pesutto, you know you’re in the poo.
Allan’s lead as the state’s preferred premier has also narrowed, with Pesutto closing the gap to just three percentage points – representing the closest gap since the 2022 election.
Reed said incumbents traditionally enjoyed a greater lead than Allan’s, but he pointed to the large number of voters – 42 per cent – who were undecided on whether they would prefer Allan or Pesutto to lead the state.
Forget ‘Simpsons already did it!’, South Park called this one way back in 2004.
