In the dozy period between New Year’s Day and the resumption of the daily grind, professional prognosticators fill the news vacuum with guesses about the coming 12 months. It’s time for a decidedly unprofessional prognosticator to have a go. Unlike those timid professionals, I’m actually giving readers the odds of my predictions coming true.

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My debut novel is available at TrossPublishing.co.nz. I have had my work published in the Australian Spectator, the New Zealand Herald and several on-line publications. One of the only right-wing people...