National has announced its 2020 party list. A key focus is who will get in at different vote levels. To answer this we need to make some assumptions. They are:

  • National retains 40 electorate seats (currently has 41)
  • There is 5% wasted vote

If these assumptions hold true, then MPs who will come in on the list at different vote levels are:

  • 3 Paul Goldsmith 34.0%
  • 12 Michael Woodhouse 34.8%
  • 13 Nicola Willis 35.6%
  • 16 Melissa Lee 36.4%
  • 20 Maureen Pugh 37.1%
  • 25 KS Bakshi 37.9%
  • 26 Paulo Garcia 38.7%
  • 27 Nancy Lu 39.5%
  • 28 Parmjeet Parmar 40.3%
  • 29 Agnes Loheni 41.1%
  • 30 Dale Stephens 41.9%
  • 31 Alfred Ngaro 42.7%
  • 32 Brett Hudson 43.5%
  • 45 Jo Hayes 44.2%
  • 46 Katie Nimon 45.0%

Those in the above list places will be very focused on lifting the party vote! 

Kiwiblog is the personal blog of David Farrar. I set it up in July 2003 after several months of getting addicted to reading other blogs. Prior to blogging, I used to participate in Usenet Internet newsgroups,...