At the end of each month, The BFD puts up a new poll with the same question so that we can track changes in voters’ preferences in the lead up to the election on September 19th.

Each month we will analyse the previous month’s results so that we can see which parties are gaining, losing or maintaining support in the lead up to election day.

If National changes leader part way through the year, for example, we will be able to tell you if that has affected support for the National party or not. Alternatively, if they do not change their leader we will be able to see if the voters that were expecting a leadership change remove their support for National as the election date gets closer.

January’s poll results:

  • ACT 49%
  • National 30%
  • New Conservative 17%
  • Maori Party 1%
  • NZ First – no support
  • Undecided 3%

February’s poll results:

  • ACT 52% +3%
  • National 27% -3%
  • New Conservative 17%
  • Maori Party-no support -1%
  • NZ First 1% +1%
  • Undecided 3%

March’s poll results:

  • ACT 49% -3%
  • National 26% -1%
  • New Conservative 20% +3%
  • Maori Party-no support
  • NZ First 2% +1%
  • Undecided 1% -2%

The poll results for April were:

  • ACT 54% +5%
  • National 23% -3%
  • New Conservative 19% -1%
  • Maori Party- no support
  • NZ First 1% -1%
  • Undecided 2% + 1%

The poll results for May were:

  • ACT 44% -10%
  • National 26% +3%
  • New Conservative 23% +4%
  • Maori Party- no support
  • NZ First 3% +2%
  • Undecided 2%- no change

The poll results for June were:

  • ACT 55% +11%
  • National 26% no change
  • New Conservative 15% -8%
  • Maori Party- 1% + 1%
  • NZ First 1% -2%
  • Labour 2% +2%
  • Undecided 0% -2%

Last month’s poll had the ACT Party in front and up 11%. National remained in second place at 26% and New Conservative in third place down 8% to 15%.

NZ First support has decreased by 2% from the previous month and the Maori party has increased by 1%. Last month none of our readers were undecided and for the first time ever since we started polling there is support of 2% showing for the Labour party.

Last month’s poll was taken when Todd Muller was still National’s leader. It will be very interesting to see the results of this months poll now that Judith Collins is in the driver’s seat.

Take our July poll below.

A contribution from The BFD staff.