1News/Colmar Brunton have released their latest poll:

Labour: 53% up 3% – 67 seats
National: 32% down 6% – 41 seats
Greens: 5% – six seats
NZ First: 2%
Act: 5% – six seats

Preferred Prime Minister

Jacinda Ardern: 54%
Judith Collins: 20% and net positive +27% approval rating

Clearly Newshub’s poll was rogue, with a massive difference in key numbers and 1News rubbed it in too.

Judith Collins is still being affected by the previous poor decisions of caucus and the various scandals that swamped Todd Muller, as he imploded. This poll is the hangover caucus has to suffer from drinking up large on firstly the Bridges/Bennett leadership and then drowning themselves with the wets of Muller/Kaye who imploded at the first bit of pressure. And they shouldn’t underestimate the damage that Michelle Boag caused the party with her poisonous antics with health data.

Previously Todd Muller got a net positive of +10% and Simon Bridges previously had -40% net approval. So a big difference with Judith Collins now leading the party. She should pull those numbers up during the campaign.

As more stable leadership kicks in along with a more vigorous campaign expect to see National make good inroads into Labour’s lead

Labour, being so far out in front have some real challenges, they won’t remain that high and will slide as the campaign gets going fully after the last week in parliament. When you are leading with numbers that high there is only one way to go and that is down.

David Seymour should be very pleased by this poll result. He deserves the success he is getting for standing tall for firearms owners and staying staunch on free speech. He is picking up votes that previously may have fallen for NZ First.

The brains trust at NZ First must surely be kicking themselves for botching the firearms changes.

Still a long way to go in this campaign yet.

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Cam Slater
As much at home writing editorials as being the subject of them, Cam has won awards, including the Canon Media Award for his work on the Len Brown/Bevan Chuang story. When he’s not creating the news, he tends to be in it, with protagonists using the courts, media and social media to deliver financial as well as death threats. Cam has previously voted National, Act and NZ First, he never was ever tempted to vote Labour or Green, but once contemplated voting for the Maori party. They say that news is something that someone, somewhere, wants kept quiet. Cam Slater doesn’t do quiet and, as a result, he is a polarising, controversial but highly effective journalist who takes no prisoners. He is fearless in his pursuit of a story. Love him or loathe him, you can’t ignore him.