Poor old Martin Martyn Bradbury. No wonder his blog is so depressing. A recent post is all doom and climate gloom.

By 2030, over 50% of the oceans will be collapsing as bio-habitats.

This quote links to The Washington Post, that paragon of scientific rigour:

More than half the world’s oceans could suffer multiple symptoms of climate change over the next 15 years, including rising temperatures, acidification, lower oxygen levels and decreasing food supplies, new research suggests. By midcentury, without significant efforts to reduce warming, more than 80 percent could be ailing — and the fragile Arctic, already among the most rapidly warming parts of the planet, may be one of the regions most severely hit.The study, published in the journal Nature Communications, uses computer models …

Could, might, may be – models suggest! Say no more. Get some real facts, Martyn, before you worry.

By 2030, East Coast cities in the U.S. can expect to see two to three-times as many flooding incidents.

More panic based on models and dodgy sea-level rise prediction. But still, if it is in the Guardian, it must be true.

By 2030, 122million will be driven into extreme poverty as direct result of climate change.

More coulds and maybes reported in the Guardian from the UN FAO. Well, they’re not biased, so it must be true.

By 2030, 100million will die as a direct consequence of climate change.

This links to a Reuters article that says:

It calculated that five million deaths occur each year from air pollution, hunger and disease as a result of climate change and carbon-intensive economies, and that toll would likely rise to six million a year by 2030 if current patterns of fossil fuel use continue.


In the context that 55.3 million people die every year anyway, how are these particular 5 million going to be linked to ‘fossil fuel use’?

By 2030, even if the Paris Agreement is actually implemented, we will see a planet warm to 3.4 degrees by the end of this century meaning there will effectively be no future civilisation capable of surviving on a planet that warm.

People do that evil flying thing to visit Australia and Fiji etc because it is 3.4°C warmer there than here. Their civilisations seem to be surviving OK.

By 2030, the global annual cost of global warming will be $3trillion.

But isn’t ‘global warming’ over? Aren’t we now onto ‘climate change’? Certainly the warming is not keeping pace with CO2 rises; that is why they changed the name. Any numbers based on ‘warming’ are going to be considerably wrong.

2030, the number of extremely hot days — classified as maximum temperatures of more than 35C — are tipped to climb in all capital cities.

This links to an Australian study. It talks about Australian capital cities. Wellingtonians need not panic.

But don’t fret folks, by 2050 NZ might be carbon neutral!

My GP assures me that in all likelihood I will be around in 2030 so I shall write another article following up on all these outlandish claims. My confident prediction, based on the climate ‘experts’ prediction success rate to date, is that Martin Martyn will be 100% wrongly wrongson once again.


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